Autopilot Leads

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Placepot Secrets

Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one
meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the
main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it
makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade
meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses
here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard.
So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the
day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize
values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the
one to use.
Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections.
To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick
more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips
which make entering easier.
To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had
covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved.
Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more
costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729
times our stake. Too much.
The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00.
It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two
races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets.
Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form
you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to
base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very
reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do:
1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races
with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable
favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act
as our "single" entries in the perm.
2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap
races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three
horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three"
selections in the perm.
3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting
forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm.
We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because
the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should
scoop the Placepot at least once a week.
One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist
racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use,
keep to the same one each day.

No comments:

Post a Comment